次线性期望下的一般中心极限定理

受Peng-中心极限定理的启发,本文主要应用G-正态分布的概念,放宽Peng-中心极限定理的条件,在次线性期望下得到形式更为一般的中心极限定理.首先,将均值条件E[X_n]=ε[X_n]=0放宽为|E[X_n]|+|ε[X_n]|=O(1/n);其次,应用随机变量截断的方法,放宽随机变量的2阶矩与2+δ阶矩条件;最后,将该定理的Peng-独立性条件进行放宽,得到卷积独立随机变量的中心极限定理.     

Primordial non-Gaussianities after Planck 2015: An introductory review

Deviations from Gaussian statistics of the cosmological density fluctuations, so-called primordial non-Gaussianities (NG), are one of the most informative fingerprints of the origin of structures in the universe. Indeed, they can probe physics at energy scales inaccessible to laboratory experiments, and are sensitive to the interactions of the field(s) that generated the primordial fluctuations, contrary to the Gaussian linear theory. As a result, they can discriminate between inflationary models that are otherwise almost indistinguishable. In this short review, we explain how to compute the non-Gaussian properties in any inflationary scenario. We review the theoretical predictions of several important classes of models. We then describe the ways NG can be probed observationally, and we highlight the recent constraints from the Planck mission, as well as their implications. We finally identify well motivated theoretical targets for future experiments and discuss observational prospects.     

Cosmic inflation and model comparison

We analyze the implications for inflation of the recently released Planck Cosmic Microwave Background data and explain why the single-field slow-roll scenarios with minimal kinetic terms are favored. Within this class of models, we show how Bayesian model comparison can be used to further exclude about one third of the inflationary scenarios. We also study the end of inflation and show that Planck can already constrain the reheating phase. Finally, we conclude by discussing how future missions will be able to improve our knowledge of the inflationary mechanism.     

Shelf life of condoms

Condom quality is, in many countries, regulated through ISO (international standard) 4074. It prescribes a maximum shelf life of 5 years and also a real time stability requirement to ensure the products are fit for use until the expiry date. This article reports on tests done on condoms well past their expiry date, as well as some which were near their expiry date and then submitted to the additional challenge of storage at 50 °C for 90 days. The results show that, with two exceptions, the condoms continued to comply comfortably with the requirements of the standard. It thus appears that the 5 year maximum shelf life currently allowed for condoms should be reviewed.     

ORSIS – News and further developments

The paper deals with the simulation program Off Road Systems Interactive Simulation (ORSIS) which is the w,orldwide leading simulation tool for off road driving of wheeled vehicles. Even though the present state of development allows a very realistic simulation of the man–vehicle–terrain system, there is continuous further improvement in the computer program’s detail. Some of the recent innovations integrated into the program are presented in this paper. These examples were chosen in a way that the scope of the further developments can be demonstrated. They represent three main directions of the work carried out: the refining of the tire–soil-model, the integration of new technologies and subsystems into the vehicle model and the improvement of the man–machine–interface especially in driving simulators.The first part of the paper describes a further development of the tire–soil-model. A significant improvement has been achieved to include the influence of slippery surfaces on traction in combination with the tire tread pattern. Results from finite element method (FEM) as well as real measurements were used to build up an approach, which qualitatively allows the influence of the positive–negative portion of the tire tread and the lug height of the tire tread on traction to be considered. The basic idea is very simple and straightforward. Moreover the calculation costs are very low, so the enhancement does not affect real time operation.In the second part a physical model for the central tire inflation system (CTIS) is presented. With this model it is possible to simulate the complete pneumatic system of a CTIS, including the air compressor with an accumulator, the pressure line and the wheel valves. The components are modelled by their physical parameters, so an adaptation to different existing tire-pressure-control-systems (TPC) can be made. The paper presents a short review of the modelling and a first validation using real measurements. Furthermore the influence of each parameter, e.g. the discharge flow of the compressor on the inflation time, is presented.The third part of the paper describes a further development of the visualization system. The ORSIS OpenGL graphic engine was separated from the main ORSIS simulation and can be run on different PCs controlled via a network. It is therefore possible to build up very cheap multi-channel visualization systems using consumer PCs running under LinuX. The fact that ORSIS itself is running on a normal PC allows the assembly of comparatively cheap driving simulators of a high end simulation quality.     

On the bursting of linear polymer melts in inflation processes

Molten LLDPE and HDPE plates (thickness 2 mm) have been inflated into a circular cylinder (inner radius 31 mm) under isothermal conditions. Low deformation rates allow the plates to be inflated considerably into the cylinder, and at high inflation rates an early burst is observed.Axis-symmetric numerical simulation of the inflations have been performed, using a constitutive equation in the form of a separable memory integral where the strain dependence is described by the Linear Molecular Stress Function (L-MSF) model with dissipative convective constraint release. The material parameters in the constitutive model are obtained using liner viscoelastic (oscillatory shear) and uni-axial elongational measurements.The numerical simulations were performed for inflation of a flat plate and a perturbed plate, where a small circular cone was removed from the centre of the surface of the plate. This was done in order to investigate the stability of the inflations. It is shown that all of the inflations are hydrodynamically unstable, though the effect on the occurrence of the burst is limited. One exception is at slow inflation, where an unexpected burst may appear as a consequence of minute deviations from an ideal flat plate. All of the numerical calculations show quantitative agreement with the experiments for a wide range of experimental conditions. This strongly suggests that the initiation of the burst is a hydrodynamic phenomenon.The critical parameters in the inflation of molten linear polymers have been investigated using the Gel equation as a memory function (M(s)=Ans ^–(1+n)) and inflating the plate with a constant velocity for the top of the plate. The hydrodynamic burst in a linear polymer is mainly associated with the linear viscoelastic properties and only slightly with the non-linear strain dependence. Increased (linear) elasticity reduces the inflated volume, at the same inflation velocity, before the burst occurs. Furthermore, the critical parameter for the occurrence of the burst (whether or not the burst occurs) is related to the crossover point (G=G) in linear viscoelasticity.     

Steering forces on undriven tractor wheel

The steering forces on an undriven, angled wheel mounting a 6-16 8PR tire were measured on a wheel test carriage at zero camber angle and at 1.5 km/h forward speed in a soil bin with sandy clay loam soil. The lateral force developed was found to be a function of slip angle, normal load, and inflation pressure for a particular soil condition. An exponential relationship could estimate the coefficient of lateral force of the 6-16 tire. The coefficients of this equation were found to be linearly related to inflation pressure. Rolling resistance of the wheel tested was found to be a function of slip angle, normal load, and inflation pressure for the soil condition tested. A linear relationship existed between the rolling resistance and slip angle, where the coefficients were found to be a function of inflation pressure and normal load. The generalized equations developed in the present study for estimating coefficients of lateral force and rolling resistance by taking both the tire and operating parameters into account, were found to be reasonably good by looking at the high coefficient of determination between experimental and estimated values.     

Elastic instabilities for strain-stiffening rubber-like spherical and cylindrical thin shells under inflation

This paper is concerned with investigation of the effects of strain-stiffening on the classical limit point instability that is well-known to occur in the inflation of internally pressurized rubber-like spherical thin shells (balloons) and circular cylindrical thin tubes composed of incompressible isotropic non-linearly elastic materials. For a variety of specific strain-energy densities that give rise to strain-stiffening in the stress-stretch response, the inflation pressure versus stretch relations are given explicitly and the non-monotonic character of the inflation curves is examined. While such results are known for constitutive models that exhibit a gradual stiffening (e.g. exponential and power-law models), our primary focus is on materials that undergo severe strain-stiffening in the stress-stretch response. In particular, we consider two phenomenological constitutive models that reflect limiting chain extensibility at the molecular level. It is shown that for materials with sufficiently low extensibility no limit point instability occurs and so stable inflation is then predicted for such materials. Potential applications of the results to the biomechanics of soft tissues are indicated.     

Pseudo‐R 2’s in the ordinal probit model*

This paper presents an analysis of the combining mechanism for status information postulated by the mathematical formulation of the theory of status characteristics and expectation states. Six lemmas on the basic features of the combining mechanism are derived from the formulation and discussed. Further, four theorems that illustrate the implications of the particular combining mechanism for power and prestige orders are presented and proven.     

Complex dynamics in equilibrium asset pricing models with boundedly rational,heterogeneous agents

We study a simple model based upon the Lucas framework where heterogeneous agents behave rationally in a fully intertemporal setting but do not know other investors' personal preferences, wealth or investment portfolios. As a consequence, agents initially do not know the equilibrium asset pricing function and must make guesses, which they update via adaptive learning with constant gain. We demonstrate that even in this simple environment the economy can, depending on parameters, exhibit either stable convergence to equilibrium, or chaotic dynamical behavior of asset prices and trading volume without converging to the rational expectations equilibrium of the Lucas model. This contradicts the assertion that the Lucas model is stable in the face of modest deviations from the strong assumptions required to compute the equilibrium. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 19: 38–55, 2014